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Quarterly Macroeconomic Review - II Q, 2024

  • Monday, 12 August 2024 08:01
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Each month/quarter, PBO issues short macroeconomic reviews. Those monthly/quarterly reviews, which are based on information from the Geostat, National bank of Georgia and Ministry of Finance and use PBO estimations, provide information on the monthly/quarterly status of core macro aggregates.

HIGHLIGHTS

• In Q2 2024, according to preliminary estimate real GDP increased by 9.5%, which is more than the forecasted 7.6% by the Parliamentary Budget Office.
• In Q2 2024, annual inflation amounted to 1.9%, lower than the inflation target of 3.0%.
• In Q2 2024, positive overall balance of consolidated budget amounted to GEL 23.9 million.
• In Q2 2024, an increasing trend was observed in terms of public debt. The share of external debt in total public debt decreased. Namely, the share of external debt made up 73.1%, while the same indicator in Q2, 2023 was 74.1%.
• In Q1* 2024, current account balance improved. Namely, current account negative balance amounted to USD 351.2 million, 5.5% less YoY.
• In Q2 2024, the amount of international reserves reached to USD 4,581.0 million, 9.6% decrease YoY.
• In Q2 2024, the share of the export in external trade in Goods decreased from 29.0% to 27.7% YoY.
• In Q2 2024, remittances to Georgia decreased by 24.5% YoY and amounted to USD 843.9 million.
• Monetary policy (refinancing) rate decreased to 8.00% at the end of Q2, 2024.
• GEL depreciated against USD by 2.5% QoQ and by 6.6% YoY.
• Dollarization coefficient decreased on deposits, while increased on loans YoY.

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